If you need a technique to find a correct wager at Saratoga or any horse song this text explains a way to assign odds after which shop for a terrific wager. The key to making a profit when horse racing handicapping isn’t to simply pick winners, however to additionally choose winners that pay properly. In a previous article entitled, “A Horse Racing Betting Strategy and System for Success,” I defined how to assign possibility possibilities as odds and to construct your very own betting line so that you’ll know while a horse is a great guess.
Here’s an actual example of a race being handicapped in that way and the result. Naturally, I do not have the winner of every race, but once I do guess I ensure I get value for my money from my winners. Saratoga is a high-quality race tune wherein the pleasant horses and trainers and jockeys meet every year. It gives splendid cost in some races.
One of the maximum essential things to do not forget about Saratoga, or the “Spa,” as it’s far on occasion referred to as, is that some horses actually love and others best run so-so there. The race we will use as our example in this newsletter is race 1 on July 31st, 2013. It became a $20,000 non winners of 3 claiming occasion to be contested over 1 1/eight miles for 3 yr olds and up. I recognized 3 horses that I notion have been the authentic contenders inside the race and divided my 80% chance many of the three horses.
There had been only horses inside the race that had each received at Saratoga and gained at the space. They were the 1, Ea, and the five, Sinorice. We’ll cognizance at the 3 contenders and disregard the relaxation of the sector for the sake of brevity.
The 1, was the elegance of the race in my opinion however become getting back from a layoff of over ninety days. The trainer, David Jacobson, best has a 12% common with horses which have laid off that long, so I was skeptical and didn’t make it my pinnacle preference. However, I couldn’t completely dismiss the horse based totally on its wins at the distance and tune. It also had Javier Castellano up within the irons and he has an 18% win common in routes. I figured Ea had a 20% risk of winning so I assigned the spoil even odds of 4-1. Two wins in 10 races at $2 in line with race could result in $20 payback for $20 in bets.
The next horse became Sovereign Default, the four travelers championship tickets horse every other Jacobson horse however not a part of an access. Though Sovereign Default hadn’t won at the space or Saratoga I made it my pinnacle choice at 2-1 with 35% of my 80% pool. It had a running style that made it a risk on the lead and became additionally dropping in elegance. Though coming back from a layoff, it changed into a shorter layoff than Ea and Jacobson has a 26% average with such horses who’ve been off among forty six-90 days.
My ultimate contender became Sinorice racing from put up five for instructor Nick Zito who has a 33% average with horses shifting down one class. Sinorice had also won at the tune and distance. Jose Lezcano become the jockey and had won at the music and distance on Sinorice. This is an attitude I love. I assigned 3-1 odds to the pony and although I thought Sovereign Default had the brink primarily based on latest speed figures, I surely preferred Sinorice’s chances. I boxed the 4-5 because they had been my top picks in a quick field and I idea them plenty the first-rate.
Now the hassle turned into the way to find cost within the win swimming pools. The odds at put up time were 1 = five/2 (I concept this became no cost and exceeded on the pony) four = even odds that fluctuated between 6/5 or even. (horrible fee for a horse that hadn’t even verified it can win on the music and distance) five = five-1 ( A good value given that I thought honest cost turned into three-1 odds)